Latest published articles

Post-Crash Recovery: How Smart Investors Rebuild

Post-crash recovery strategies separate the investors who build generational wealth from those who swear off the stock market forever and stuff cash under the mattress. Every crash feels like the end of the world while you are in it. Then, about two years later, it feels like the most obvious buying opportunity in history. The trick is acting during the first phase, not just recognizing it during the second.

Lessons From the Tech Bubble for Today's AI Hype

Lessons from the tech bubble are everywhere right now, and almost nobody is paying attention. We are living through the most exciting technology shift since the Internet itself – generative AI, large language models, autonomous agents – and the investment world has responded with the same fever it had in 1999. NVIDIA trades at valuations that would have made Cisco blush at its peak. AI startups with no revenue raise billions. And retail investors pile into anything with “AI” in the name like it is a magic word that prints money.

Herd Mentality in Investing: How to Avoid the Trap

Herd mentality in investing has destroyed more wealth than any market crash. Not because crashes themselves are that devastating – they recover. But because the crowd rushes in at the top and panics out at the bottom, turning temporary drawdowns into permanent losses. If you have spent any time on Reddit WallStreetBets, TikTok finance, or crypto Twitter, you have seen this cycle play out in real time, compressed from years into weeks.

How to Stay Rational When Markets Go Crazy

Market euphoria makes rational investing feel like swimming against a tsunami. Everyone around you is getting rich on AI stocks, meme coins, or whatever the flavor of the month is, and your disciplined portfolio looks embarrassingly boring. Your cousin who cannot spell “EBITDA” just made six figures on a leveraged NVIDIA bet. Your coworker keeps showing you his crypto wallet at lunch. The temptation to abandon your strategy and chase the hype is enormous. And that is exactly when the most damage gets done.

The Challenge of Scaling Your Investment Portfolio

Scaling an investment portfolio is one of those problems nobody warns you about until you are already in the middle of it. When you start with $10,000 or $50,000, the entire stock market is your playground. You can buy into tiny companies, flip positions in a day, and nobody notices. Then your portfolio grows – maybe to $500K, maybe to a few million – and suddenly the rules change. Strategies that compounded at 25% per year start delivering 12%. Positions that once took seconds to build now take weeks. The market has not changed. You have.

Do Mega-Mergers Actually Create Value?

Mega-mergers are the fireworks of corporate finance. Everybody watches. CEOs ring the bell. Investment bankers collect fees that could fund a small country. And then, more often than not, shareholder value quietly evaporates over the next three to five years. The research on this is brutal and consistent: somewhere between 60% and 80% of large acquisitions fail to create value for the acquiring company’s shareholders. Yet every year, hundreds of billions of dollars flow into these deals. So what exactly is going on, and how should you – as an investor – think about it when your company announces the next “transformative” merger?

Insurance Float: The Secret Weapon of Smart Investors

Insurance float is the single most powerful concept in the insurance business, and most investors completely ignore it. They look at premiums. They look at claims. They look at revenue growth. And they miss the real engine – the massive pool of money sitting between when premiums are collected and when claims are paid. That pool is float, and understanding it is the difference between seeing an insurance company as a boring utility and recognizing it as one of the most attractive business models ever invented.

PascalFi

PascalFi explores the intersection of quantitative methods and practical investing. Named after Blaise Pascal, the mathematician who laid the groundwork for probability theory, this blog applies data-driven thinking to investment decisions. The art …

Know More