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Nvidia FY27 Setup, ASIC Debate, and the Wider Chip Trade

Nvidia reports FY27 Q1 inside the next two weeks and the setup is unusually balanced. Sell side calls for triple digit free cash flow growth into fiscal 2027 sit next to fresh caution about custom silicon, memory pricing, and hyperscaler capex digestion. The signal is split, which is what makes the print worth a look beyond the headline beat.

Geth Pruning Benchmarks and Quiet API Tradeoffs

Two pull requests against the geth repository closed in the same window today. One was a parallel state pruning experiment that ran into a database wall. The other was a defensive limit on a rarely used HTTP API that maintainers decided was not worth the maintenance load. Together they show how Ethereum execution client decisions actually get made: benchmarks, not narratives.

Oil Slides as Iran Talks Move Toward Reopening Hormuz

Crude prices slipped over the weekend after the US president said Washington would not rush into a deal with Iran, while also signaling that an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz was largely negotiated. The market read both lines as the same signal. Traders are pricing a path back to something closer to normal tanker flow, even if the political theater takes another two or three weeks to settle.

Europe Carbon Fraud, Iran Fertilizer Squeeze, AI Bond Boom

Energy markets ran on three storylines today. A long running scandal over Chinese carbon credits sold into Europe got a new chapter. The Iran war kept squeezing oil, gas, and now sulphur. And the AI buildout kept pulling capital into long dated bonds. Each thread has different drivers but they share one feature: rules and prices that worked last cycle are starting to fail.

Ethereum EIP-8037 Hikes State Creation Gas Cost

A new Ethereum core change is moving through go ethereum, the most widely deployed client. It raises the gas cost for opcodes and operations that grow chain state, and it tightens how the network refunds gas when authorization slots clear. The pull request crossed another milestone on May 22, 2026 with regenerated tracing code, which usually signals that the implementation is converging on a final shape.

Alphabet's SpaceX Stake, Waymo, and the AI Capex Push

Alphabet trades like an ad company but operates like a holding firm. Inside the GOOGL share sit a minority piece of SpaceX, a majority piece of Waymo, and a growing AI infrastructure tab. Today’s notes tie those threads together with a side trip into Ethereum protocol plumbing.

Nvidia Beats Big as Bloom Energy Lands AI Power Megadeal

Nvidia delivered another beat and added $80 billion of buyback authorization. Bloom Energy locked in a power supply deal with cloud builder Nebius worth up to $2.6 billion. The cluster of AI infrastructure prints landed against a tape where the equity risk premium is now negative for the first time since the dot com era.

PascalFi

PascalFi explores the intersection of quantitative methods and practical investing. Named after Blaise Pascal, the mathematician who laid the groundwork for probability theory, this blog applies data-driven thinking to investment decisions. The art …

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